Research libraryQRD / 2026 / POST-OPE
Technical Note
Research statusPublished

Quantitative Finance / Systematic Equity Research

Post-OPEX Cross-Sectional Effect: Final Historical Audit

Research abstract

A frozen-candidate falsification study of US equity returns in the first two trading sessions after monthly options expiration, using causal timing, cost stress, placebo controls, cycle-level bootstrap, sub-universe replication and immutable forward governance. The study evaluates the historical robustness of a frozen Post-OPEX cross-sectional strategy while explicitly preserving the original research gate and separating historical evidence from true forward out-of-sample validation.

Research partnersRoberto Coccaro / Amin Hydar Ali
Research areaQuantitative Finance / Systematic Equity Research
Publication date05 October 2026
Document16 pages
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Research record

Abstract

A frozen-candidate falsification study of US equity returns in the first two trading sessions after monthly options expiration, using causal timing, cost stress, placebo controls, cycle-level bootstrap, sub-universe replication and immutable forward governance. The study evaluates the historical robustness of a frozen Post-OPEX cross-sectional strategy while explicitly preserving the original research gate and separating historical evidence from true forward out-of-sample validation.

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Classification

Research keywords

01Options Expiration02OPEX03Cross-Sectional Equity04Seasonality05Walk-Forward Analysis06Bootstrap07Placebo Testing08Robustness09- Systematic Trading
Research disclosure

Research and educational material only. Nothing published here constitutes investment advice, solicitation or an offer to trade.